Almost half of all global executives polled believe that the technology innovation center of the world will move from Silicon Valley to another country in the next four years according to a survey published Wednesday.
KPMG's global Tech Innovation Survey 2012 found 43 percent of respondents said Silicon Valley's crown would be passed elsewhere by 2016. China was named as the country most likely to be the next innovation centre (45%), followed by India (21%) and Japan (9%) and Korea (9%).
Israel came in fifth while Europe barely featured.
The survey also found that China and the U.S. are the two countries most likely to come up with 'disruptive technology breakthroughs' that will have a global impact in the next two to four years.
Despite the figures, Tudor Aw, Technology Sector Head for KPMG Europe, while recognizing the shortcomings in Europe was not overly gloomy.
'The U.K. in particular has always been one of the leaders in creativity, but it has been poor at is taking that creativity to a commercial model.'
Mr. Aw did admit that the lack of skills and the relative low numbers of engineers in Europe might be a problem, but the sort of companies that were creating disruption were much faster to build and less reliant on heavy engineering skills.
'The [low] number of hardware and software engineers will not be as big a barrier as it would be if we were trying to create the next Rolls Royce.
'But if you think of something like Facebook, companies like this can be built in 2-3 years.'
Mr. Aw was not surprised by the growth of China as a center of disruption. 'You only have to look at the Japanese car industry. It started by disrupting the cost model, only then did it start to move up the value chain.'
Asked about the next technology breakthrough that will result in the greatest business transformation four years from now, 28% of respondents named mobile technologies, smartphones and tablets, 17% cloud computing and storage and 13% advanced IT and 3D technology.
The survey was conducted among 668 global technology leaders, with one-third from the U.S. and Canada, 14% from China, and 9% from Israel. The remaining half was from Asia and EMEA. The mix included technology startups (32%), mid-market enterprises (37%), large tech companies (23%), with the remainder from venture capital firms and angel investors.
The high-level survey drew a large percentage of responses from the C-suite, with CEOs alone comprising 20% of those polled. Entrepreneurs, M&A directors, corporate development and strategy execs also were represented.
面对这项调查结果，毕马威欧洲(KPMG Europe)技术主管奥务(Tudor Aw)在承认欧洲不足的同时，也并不过分悲观。